BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#74 North Carolina 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
North Carolina 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#38)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.55 |
44.38 (+9.84) |
31.18 |
32.07 (+0.89) |
32.07 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
495.73 |
524.46 (+28.73) |
414.18 |
423.13 (+8.95) |
423.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.58 |
6.99 (+0.41) |
5.85 |
6.00 (+0.15) |
6.00 (+0.00) |
Defense (#108)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.91 |
27.36 (-1.55) |
29.82 |
31.69 (+1.88) |
31.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
416.27 |
429.34 (+13.07) |
396.36 |
424.49 (+28.12) |
424.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.65 |
5.65 (-0.00) |
5.86 |
6.25 (+0.39) |
6.25 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
@Minnesota |
24.19 |
33.42 |
+9.24 |
57.61 |
35.18% |
W 19-17 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Charlotte |
40.91 |
26.97 |
-13.94 |
67.88 |
72.35% |
W 38-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
North Carolina Central |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
James Madison |
31.19 |
36.99 |
+5.80 |
68.18 |
40.69% |
L 50-70 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Duke |
28.34 |
34.15 |
+5.81 |
62.49 |
40.69% |
L 20-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Pittsburgh |
34.20 |
32.48 |
-1.72 |
66.68 |
52.76% |
L 24-34 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Georgia Tech |
30.14 |
33.29 |
+3.15 |
63.43 |
44.95% |
L 34-41 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Virginia |
31.78 |
30.32 |
-1.47 |
62.10 |
52.36% |
W 41-14 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Florida State |
29.57 |
21.03 |
-8.54 |
50.60 |
63.69% |
W 35-11 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-17 |
Wake Forest |
39.85 |
29.42 |
-10.44 |
69.27 |
66.74% |
W 31-24 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Boston College |
31.38 |
36.20 |
+4.82 |
67.59 |
42.27% |
L 21-41 |
6-5 |
| 2024-11-30 |
NC State |
39.69 |
35.76 |
-3.93 |
75.45 |
56.30% |
L 30-35 |
6-6 |
| 2024-12-28 |
UConn |
34.35 |
29.04 |
-5.31 |
63.39 |
58.52% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
41.36% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-6 |
58.64% |
41.36% |
58.64% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.15% |
| 3-10 |
0.95% |
| 4-9 |
3.80% |
| 5-8 |
9.94% |
| 6-7 |
17.89% |
| 7-6 |
22.70% |
| 8-5 |
21.44% |
| 9-4 |
14.10% |
| 10-3 |
6.50% |
| 11-2 |
2.10% |
| 12-1 |
0.40% |
| 13-0 |
0.03% |