BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
North Carolina 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
North Carolina 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.55 |
44.38 (+9.84) |
30.83 |
36.87 (+6.03) |
38.74 (+1.88) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
495.73 |
524.46 (+28.73) |
433.00 |
473.30 (+40.30) |
486.09 (+12.79) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.58 |
6.99 (+0.41) |
5.85 |
6.43 (+0.57) |
6.57 (+0.14) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.91 |
27.36 (-1.55) |
33.83 |
31.76 (-2.07) |
30.66 (-1.10) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
416.27 |
429.34 (+13.07) |
438.83 |
434.26 (-4.57) |
433.03 (-1.23) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.65 |
5.65 (-0.00) |
6.40 |
6.31 (-0.09) |
6.14 (-0.17) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
@Minnesota |
31.27 |
31.09 |
-0.18 |
62.36 |
50.28% |
W 19-17 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Charlotte |
44.27 |
21.66 |
-22.62 |
65.93 |
86.28% |
W 38-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
North Carolina Central |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
James Madison |
30.92 |
46.42 |
+15.50 |
77.35 |
25.14% |
L 50-70 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Duke |
29.86 |
35.66 |
+5.80 |
65.52 |
40.69% |
L 20-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Pittsburgh |
38.18 |
33.42 |
-4.76 |
71.60 |
57.63% |
L 24-34 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Georgia Tech |
38.85 |
36.85 |
-2.00 |
75.70 |
53.21% |
L 34-41 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Virginia |
35.37 |
34.56 |
-0.81 |
69.94 |
51.30% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Florida State |
29.02 |
29.90 |
+0.87 |
58.92 |
48.60% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Wake Forest |
44.73 |
30.38 |
-14.35 |
75.11 |
73.02% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Boston College |
37.40 |
33.73 |
-3.67 |
71.13 |
55.89% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
NC State |
40.51 |
33.52 |
-6.98 |
74.03 |
61.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
1.19% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
8.61% |
1.19% |
98.81% |
| 5-7 |
25.05% |
9.81% |
90.19% |
| 6-6 |
35.12% |
34.85% |
65.14% |
| 7-5 |
23.68% |
69.98% |
30.02% |
| 8-4 |
6.35% |
93.65% |
6.34% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.14% |
| 3-9 |
0.93% |
| 4-8 |
4.21% |
| 5-7 |
11.03% |
| 6-6 |
20.17% |
| 7-5 |
24.95% |
| 8-4 |
21.05% |
| 9-3 |
12.14% |
| 10-2 |
4.37% |
| 11-1 |
0.91% |
| 12-0 |
0.09% |