BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
North Carolina 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
North Carolina 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.55 |
44.38 (+9.84) |
32.44 |
34.84 (+2.40) |
34.84 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
495.73 |
524.46 (+28.73) |
431.67 |
447.66 (+15.99) |
447.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.58 |
6.99 (+0.41) |
5.89 |
6.19 (+0.30) |
6.19 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.91 |
27.36 (-1.55) |
28.00 |
29.69 (+1.69) |
29.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
416.27 |
429.34 (+13.07) |
386.22 |
408.36 (+22.14) |
408.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.65 |
5.65 (-0.00) |
5.78 |
6.17 (+0.39) |
6.17 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
@Minnesota |
27.70 |
30.19 |
+2.48 |
57.89 |
46.02% |
W 19-17 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Charlotte |
44.63 |
24.36 |
-20.27 |
68.99 |
82.51% |
W 38-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
North Carolina Central |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
James Madison |
31.74 |
36.40 |
+4.65 |
68.14 |
42.53% |
L 50-70 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Duke |
31.51 |
33.27 |
+1.75 |
64.78 |
47.19% |
L 20-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Pittsburgh |
33.80 |
32.99 |
-0.81 |
66.79 |
51.30% |
L 24-34 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Georgia Tech |
30.68 |
29.14 |
-1.55 |
59.82 |
52.48% |
L 34-41 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Virginia |
33.11 |
29.92 |
-3.19 |
63.03 |
55.12% |
W 41-14 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Florida State |
31.24 |
19.39 |
-11.85 |
50.63 |
69.00% |
W 35-11 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-17 |
Wake Forest |
43.67 |
30.22 |
-13.45 |
73.89 |
71.57% |
W 31-24 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Boston College |
36.03 |
32.26 |
-3.77 |
68.30 |
56.05% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
NC State |
43.22 |
33.07 |
-10.15 |
76.29 |
66.28% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
14.91% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
47.81% |
14.91% |
85.09% |
| 8-4 |
37.28% |
62.72% |
37.28% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.09% |
| 3-9 |
0.60% |
| 4-8 |
2.80% |
| 5-7 |
8.25% |
| 6-6 |
16.54% |
| 7-5 |
23.50% |
| 8-4 |
23.54% |
| 9-3 |
15.75% |
| 10-2 |
6.94% |
| 11-1 |
1.75% |
| 12-0 |
0.23% |